TRENDS & INSIGHTS

Become a recession-proof designer: What does the current economic downturn mean, and how to adapt

The last couple of months have been harsh. Stock markets are plunging, businesses are freezing hiring, (tech) startups are laying off people at the highest rates since 2020, and governments worldwide are increasing interest rates to tackle dramatically rising inflation while the cost of everything seems to be soaring. So what does this colossal mess mean for designers, and how do we adapt? Let's dive in.
By Jan Takacs, 13th June 2022

What is happening?

A combination of events is now shaking up the financial world, causing a significant downturn, and many aspects of our lives have been hit hard as a consequence.

Countries worldwide are still recovering from the COVID-19 crisis. Disrupted global supply chains are causing massive shortages of essential items. Inflation is the highest it has been in decades. And if that's not enough, we are witnessing the biggest military conflict in Europe since World War II, which is likely to redefine the western world as we know it.
61%

Sequoia said about 61% of all software, internet and fintech companies are trading below pre-pandemic 2020 prices. The market is indicating that the valuation framework over the last two years is no longer relevant with the removal of free money. (Source: Moneycontrol)

So what, how does that affect me and the place where I work?

To tackle rising inflation, governments worldwide are increasing interest rates. That is a big deal for businesses because, as a result, the era of cheap, readily available money is likely ending, marking a shift from a growth-over-profits mentality, which will dramatically affect many industries.

In this new economic reality, profitability, not hyper-growth at all cost, will play the central role. It will be harder for businesses to raise money from investors due to their appetite to seek less risky options and decreased availability of capital.

Ultimately, the entire (global) business ecosystem will feel the heat and, thus, most (if not all) individuals within it, too. Because whether we like it or not, we are all part of it, and everyone plays a particular role: as an employee, entrepreneur, business owner, intern, advisor or freelancer.

Numerous organizations, particularly startups, will be affected in various ways—many we can observe already. Some of the most significant consequences of the new economic climate will be:
Delivery services in Southeast Asia see spike in business because of COVID-19 (Source: Channel News Asia, Photo: Mediacorp)
In this new economic reality, profitability, not hyper-growth at all cost, will play the central role. Ultimately, the entire (global) business ecosystem will feel the heat and, thus, most (if not all) individuals within it, too.

Now, what? How do I adapt and stay relevant?

Even though it all does sound challenging, don't throw in the towel just yet. These times also offer a chance to broaden our horizons, refine our skillsets and develop new capabilities. Here are some tips you might want to leverage to stay relevant and even increase your value as a designer:

Optimization and efficiency: Since there is increased pressure on achieving profitability, most businesses will look at ways how to optimize their current operations, so it might not be the best time to pitch innovative ideas for new products or services with uncertain outcomes, but rather improve existing solutions and processes (from a design perspective, a good example might be to work on better design systems to cut down development costs or utilize research and synthesis skills to help decrease customer service costs).

Elevated importance of pricing: During economic downturns, people are more cautious about how they spend their money, so the pricing aspect of products becomes critical; designers would benefit from learning the basics of pricing and getting familiar with the commercial side of product development.

Expansion of knowledge for better leadership potential: Times of crises require strong leaders; expanding your (at least surface) knowledge of marketing, sales, finance, and other domains will increase your chances of rising to leadership positions and enhance your collaborative potential within the organization.

Proactively adding value through business savviness: We already emphasized business savviness as a vital skill in our trends for 2022, but it's even more necessary now; embracing and learning concepts such as profitability tree to identify opportunities where to add value with your unique skills (be it research, interaction or visual design) might multiply your value as a designer in the market (and add powerful skills to your 'recession-proof' toolkit).

Open collaboration, not siloed approach, will win: Better embedment into the organization's structure will matter more than ever now; designers who are siloed away and not tightly integrated within their business and broader working teams will significantly decrease their relevancy (in plain language, work more closely with your colleagues and not hidden in a cave).

Time to pay more attention to your CFO: Often, seemingly boring financial briefings and presentations are essential to understand the core financial metrics of your organization and see the bigger picture. Without this, its extremely hard to know where to invest your time and energy to make the most significant impact (and keep your job or rise in the business).
Delivery services in Southeast Asia see spike in business because of COVID-19 (Source: Channel News Asia, Photo: Mediacorp)
Opportunity to develop more well-rounded capabilities These times also offer a chance to broaden our horizons, refine our skillsets and develop new capabilities that will serve us better in the long-term and perhaps even open doors for new and surprising possibilities as 'recession-proof' designers will always be highly sought after.

Conclusion

Even though it might seem like it's all doom and gloom right now, it's good to keep in mind that crises are also moments of opportunity. Opportunity to develop more well-rounded capabilities that will serve you better in the long-term and perhaps even open doors for new and surprising possibilities as 'recession-proof' designers will always be highly sought after.

If you would like to catch up on this topic more or have any specific questions, feel free to contact me here or via LinkedIn.

Sources:

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